Professor Martin Neil

Teaching

Bayesian Decision and Risk Analysis (Postgraduate)

The module will cover: Introduction to information systems; Types of information system; Uses of Information systems; Information systems in e-commerce and e-business; Information system design and development; Case studies of business information systems; The human factor in information systems; Legal and ethical issues in Information systems.

Bayesian Decision and Risk Analysis (Undergraduate)

The role of software is increasingly critical in our everyday lives and the accompanying risks of business or safety critical systems failure can be profound. This module will provide you with a framework for articulating and managing the risks inherent in the systems you will develop as a practitioner. Likewise, you will learn how to build decision-support tools for uncertain problems in a variety of contexts (legal, medical, safety), but with a special emphasis on software development. This module will make a distinctive offering that will enable you to bring a principled approach to bear to analysing and solving uncertain and risky problems. Module contents: Quantification of risk and assessment: Bayesian Probability and Utility Theory, Bayes Theorem and Bayesian updating; Causal modelling using Bayesian networks with examples; Measurement for risk: Principles of measurement, Software metrics, Introduction to multi-criteria decision aids; Principles of risk management: The risk life-cycle, Fault trees, Hazard analysis; Building causal models in practice: Patterns, identification, model reuse and composition, Eliciting and building probability tables; Real world examples; Decision support environments.

Research

Research Interests:

Publications

• Lin P, Neil M, Fenton N et al. (2022). Region-based estimation of the partition functions for hybrid Bayesian network models. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1002/int.22973

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Mclachlan S, Neil M, Dube K et al. (2022). Smart automotive technology adherence to the law: (de)constructing road rules for autonomous system development, verification and safety. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1093/ijlit/eaac002

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78038
• Hunte JL, Neil M, Fenton NE (2022). A causal Bayesian network approach for consumer product safety and risk assessment. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.12.003

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Hunte JL, Neil M, Fenton NE (2022). A causal Bayesian network approach for consumer product safety and risk assessment.. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.12.003

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/72580
• Neil M, Fenton N (2021). Bayesian Hypothesis Testing and Hierarchical Modeling of Ivermectin Effectiveness.. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1097/MJT.0000000000001450

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/74203
• Neil M (2021). Positive results from UK single gene testing for SARS-COV-2 may be inconclusive, negative or detecting past infections. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/75402
• Lin P, Neil M, Fenton N (2021). A Study of Using Bethe/Kikuchi Approximation for Learning Directed Graphic Models. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3110956

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/73991
• McLachlan S, Paterson H, Dube K et al. (2020). Real-Time Online Probabilistic Medical Computation using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/ICHI48887.2020.9374378

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/65191
• Osman M, meder B, Fenton N et al. (2020). Learning from behavioural changes that fail. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2020.09.009

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/67560
• Fenton N, Neil M, Yet B et al. (2020). Analyzing the Simonshaven Case Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1111/tops.12417

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/55286
• Kyrimi E, Raniere Neves M, Mclachlan S et al. (2020). Medical idioms for clinical Bayesian network development. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103495

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/65612
• Neil M, Fenton N, Osman M et al. (2020). Bayesian Network Analysis of Covid-19 data reveals higher Infection Prevalence Rates and lower Fatality Rates than widely reported. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1101/2020.05.25.20112466

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/66948
• Neil M, Fenton N, Osman M et al. (2020). Bayesian network analysis of Covid-19 data reveals higher infection prevalence rates and lower fatality rates than widely reported. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1778771

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/65935
• Fenton N, Osman M, Mclachlan S et al. (2020). COVID-19 infection and death rates: the need to incorporate causal explanations for the data and avoid bias in testing. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1756381

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/64082
• Fenton N, Neil M, Constantinou A (2020). The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect, Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie, Basic Books (2018). nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.artint.2020.103286

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/66336
• Lin P, Neil M, Fenton N (2020). Improved high dimensional discrete Bayesian network inference using triplet region construction. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1613/JAIR.1.12198

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Lagnado D et al. (2019). Modelling competing legal arguments using Bayesian model comparison and averaging. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/s10506-019-09250-3

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/56313
• Wang J, Neil M, Fenton N (2019). A Bayesian network approach for cybersecurity risk assessment implementing and extending the FAIR model. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.cose.2019.101659

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/61864
• Fenton N, Lagnado D, Dahlman C et al. (2019). The Opportunity Prior: A proof-based prior for criminal cases. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1093/lpr/mgz007

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/57766
• Neil M, Fenton N, Osman M et al. (2019). Causality, the critical but often ignored component guiding us through a world of uncertainties in risk assessment. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2019.1604564

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/59224
• FENTON NE, NEIL M, NOGUCHI T (2019). An extension to the noisy-OR function to resolve the ‘explaining away’ deficiency for practical Bayesian network problem. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2019.2891680

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/54988
• FENTON NE, NOGUCHI T, NEIL M (2018). Addressing the Practical Limitations of Noisy-OR using Conditional Inter-causal Anti-Correlation with Ranked Nodes. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2018.2873314

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/49410
• OSMAN M, FENTON NE, Pilditch T et al. (2018). Who do we trust on social policy interventions. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1080/01973533.2018.1469986

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/45624
• Osman M, Fenton N, Pilditch T et al. (2018). Whom Do We Trust on Social Policy Interventions?. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1080/01973533.2018.1469986

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/43545
• Fenton N, Neil M (2018). Improving Software Testing with Causal Modeling. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1002/9781119357056.ch2

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• YET B, NEIL M, FENTON N et al. (2018). An Improved Method for Solving Hybrid Influence Diagrams. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.ijar.2018.01.006

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32419
• FENTON NE, NEIL M (2018). Lawnmowers versus terrorists: A highly misleading view of risk. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2018.01104.x

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32903
• Yet B, Constantinou A, Fenton N et al. (2018). Expected Value of Partial Perfect Information in Hybrid Models Using Dynamic Discretization. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2018.2799527

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32418
• FENTON NE, NEIL M (2018). Are lawnmowers a greater risk than terrorists?. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32843
• FENTON NE, Lagnado D, Dahlman C et al. (2017). The Opportunity Prior: A Simple and Practical Solution to the Prior Probability Problem for Legal Cases. International Conference on AI and the Law (ICAIL 17)

  
  

  DOI: 10.1145/3086512.3086519

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/22709
• Neil M, Fenton N (2017). Risk Management Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1002/9781118445112.stat07943

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M, Lagnado D et al. (2016). How to model mutually exclusive events based on independent causal pathways in Bayesian network models. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2016.09.012

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/15923
• Yet B, CONSTANTINOU AC, Fenton N et al. (2016). A Bayesian Network Framework for Project Cost, Benefit and Risk Analysis with an Agricultural Development Case Study. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2016.05.005

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12375
• CONSTANTINOU AC, FENTON N, NEIL M (2016). Integrating expert knowledge with data in Bayesian networks: Preserving data-driven expectations when the expert variables remain unobserved. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2016.02.050

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/11586
• FENTON NE, neil M, Berger D (2016). Bayes and the Law. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1146/annurev-statistics-041715-033428

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12068
• Constantinou AC, Yet B, Fenton N et al. (2015). Value of information analysis for interventional and counterfactual Bayesian networks in forensic medical sciences. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2015.09.002

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10760
• FENTON NE, Zhou Y, Hospedales T et al. (2015). Probabilistic Graphical Models Parameter Learning with Transferred Prior and Constraints. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10816
• Zhou Y, Fenton N, Hospedales TM et al. (2015). Probabilistic graphical models parameter learning with transferred prior and constraints. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/31981
• Lin P, Neil M, Fenton NE (2014). Risk Aggregation in the presence of Discrete Causally Connected Random Variables. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1017/S1748499514000098

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10752
• Fenton N, Lagnado D, Hsu A et al. (2014). Response to "on the use of the likelihood ratio for forensic evaluation: response to Fenton et al.".. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.scijus.2014.05.005

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Zhou Y, Fenton N, Neil M (2014). An extended MPL-C model for Bayesian network parameter learning with exterior constraints. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-11433-0_38

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12047
• Zhou Y, Fenton N, Neil M (2014). Bayesian network approach to multinomial parameter learning using data and expert judgments. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.ijar.2014.02.008

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2014). Decision Support Software for Probabilistic Risk Assessment Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/MS.2014.32

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/7248
• Fenton N, Berger D, Lagnado D et al. (2014). When 'neutral' evidence still has probative value (with implications from the Barry George Case). nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.scijus.2013.07.002

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/7866
• Langseth H, Marquez D, Neil M (2013). Fast approximate inference in hybrid Bayesian networks using dynamic discretisation. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-38637-4_23

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M, Hsu A (2013). Calculating and understanding the value of any type of match evidence when there are potential testing errors. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/s10506-013-9147-x

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/7249
• Constantinou AC, Fenton NE, Neil M (2013). Profiting from an inefficient association football gambling market: Prediction, risk and uncertainty using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2013.05.008

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10778
• FENTON NE, Neil M, Lagnado D (2013). A General Structure for Legal Arguments About Evidence Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1111/cogs.12004

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Zhou Y, Fenton N, Neil M et al. (2013). Incorporating Expert Judgement into Bayesian Network Machine Learning. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Constantinou A, FENTON NE, Neil M (2012). pi-football: A Bayesian network model for forecasting Association Football match outcomes. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2012.07.008

  
  

  QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10780
• Neil M, Chen X, Fenton NE (2012). Optimizing the Calculation of Conditional Probability Tables in Hybrid Bayesian Networks using Binary Factorization. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2011.87

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Marquez D (2012). Availability modelling of repairable systems using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.engappai.2010.06.003

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• FENTON NE, Lagnado D, Neil M (2012). Legal idioms: a framework for evidential reasoning. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1080/19462166.2012.682656

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• FENTON NE, Neil M (2012). Risk Assessment with Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M (2012). Risk assessment and decision analysis with bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1201/b21982

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• FENTON NE, Neil M (2011). Avoiding Legal Fallacies in Practice Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• FENTON NE, Neil M (2011). The use of Bayes' and causal modelling in decision making, uncertainty and risk. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M (2010). Comparing risks of alternative medical diagnosis using Bayesian arguments.. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.jbi.2010.02.004

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton N (2010). Improved reliability modeling using Bayesian networks and dynamic discretization. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.012

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Marquez D, Fenton N (2010). Improved Reliability Modeling using Bayesian Networks and Dynamic Discretization. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.012

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Hearty P, Neil M et al. (2010). Software project and quality modelling using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.4018/978-1-60566-758-4

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Marquez D (2009). Dependability Modelling of Repairable Systems using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.3182/20090610-3-it-4004.00043

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Marquez D (2009). Dependability modelling of repairable systems using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.3182/20090610-3-it-4004.00043

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Hager D (2009). Modeling Operational Risk in Financial Institutions using Hybrid Dynamic Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.21314/jop.2009.057

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Hearty P, Fenton N, Marquez D et al. (2009). Predicting Project Velocity in XP Using a Learning Dynamic Bayesian Network Model. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/TSE.2008.76

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• N Fenton MN, Radliński Ł (2009). Software Project and Quality Modelling Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.4018/978-1-60566-758-4.ch001

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton N (2008). Solving dynamic fault trees using a new hybrid Bayesian network inference algorithm. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/MED.2008.4602222

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M, Marsh W et al. (2008). On the effectiveness of early life cycle defect prediction with Bayesian Nets. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/s10664-008-9072-x

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2008). Avoiding legal fallacies in practice using Bayesian networks. Seventh International Conference on Forensic Inference and Statistics

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Tailor M, Marquez D et al. (2008). Modelling dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.009

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton N (2008). Solving Dynamic Fault Trees using a New Hybrid Bayesian Network Inference Algorithm. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/MED.2008.4602222

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Marquez D, Fenton N (2008). Using Bayesian Networks to Model the Operational Risk to Information Technology Infrastructure in Financial Institutions. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• FENTON NE, Neil M, Marquez D (2008). Using Bayesian Networks to Predict Software Defects and Reliability. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1243/1748006XJRR161

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M, Caballero JG (2007). Using ranked nodes to model qualitative judgments in Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2007.1068

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Tailor M, Marquez D (2007). Inference in hybrid Bayesian networks using dynamic discretization. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/s11222-007-9018-y

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE, Hearty P et al. (2007). Modelling dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.009

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton NE (2007). A new Bayesian Network approach to Reliability modelling. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Radliński Ł, Fenton NE, Marquez D et al. (2007). Empirical Analysis of Software Defect Types. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Radliński Ł, Fenton NE, Neil M et al. (2007). Improved Decision-Making for Software Managers Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton NE (2007). Improved Dynamic Fault Tree modelling using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Tailor M, Marquez D (2007). Inference in hybrid Bayesian networks using dynamic discretization. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/s11222-007-9018-y

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2007). Managing Risk in the Modern World: Bayesian Networks and the Applications. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Radliński Ł, Fenton NE, Neil M et al. (2007). Modelling Prior Productivity and Defect Rates in a Causal Model for Software Project Risk Assessment. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M, Marsh W et al. (2007). Predicting software defects in varying development lifecycles using Bayesian nets. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.infsof.2006.09.001

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M, Marsh W et al. (2007). Project Data Incorporating Qualitative Factors for Improved Software Defect Prediction. ICSE PROMISE (Predictive Models in Software Engineering) 07

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/PROMISE.2007.11

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Khodakarami V, Fenton N, Neil M (2007). Project Scheduling: Improved approach to incorporate uncertainty using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1177/875697280703800205

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Marquez D (2007). Using Bayesian Networks and Simulation for Data Fusion and Risk Analysis. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M, Gallan J (2007). Using Ranked nodes to model qualitative judgements in Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, MARSH DWR (2006). A Software Metrics Challenge: Data for Project Prediction. 29th International Conference on Software Engineering (ICSE 2007), Minneapolis, USA

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M (2006). Comment: Expert elicitation for reliable system design. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1214/088342306000000529

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M (2006). Expert elicitation for reliable system design - Comment. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1214/088342306000000510

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Joseph A, Fenton NE, Neil M (2006). Predicting football results using Bayesian nets and other machine learning techniques. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2006.04.011

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE (2006). AgenaRisk. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE, Krause P et al. (2006). Bayesian networks for software process control. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2006). Expert Elicitation for Reliable System Design. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1214/088342306000000529

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE, Radlinski L (2006). Improved Bayesian Networks for Software Project Risk Assessment Using Dynamic Discretisation. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-39388-9_14

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Tailor M, Fenton N et al. (2006). Modeling Dependable Systems using Hybrid Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/ARES.2006.83

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neill M, Tailor M, Marquez D et al. (2006). Modeling dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/ARES.2006.83

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE, Marsh W et al. (2006). Predicting Software Defects in Varying Development Lifecycles using Bayesian Nets. ICSE (International Conference on Software Engineering) 2006, May 20-28, 2006, Shanghai, China

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Tailor M (2005). Using Bayesian networks to model expected and unexpected operational losses. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00641.x

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2005). A Critique of Software Defect Prediction Models. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Hearty P, FENTON NE, Neil M et al. (2005). Automated population of causal models for improved software risk assessment. 20th IEEE/ACM International Conference on Automated Software Engineering

  
  

  DOI: 10.1145/1101908.1101990

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• NEIL MD, Fenton NE (2005). Improved Methods for building large-scale Bayesian Networks. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI) 2005, Edinburgh University

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• NEIL MD, Fenton NE (2005). Improved Software Defect Prediction. 10th European SEPG, London

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2004). Combining evidence in risk analysis using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Marsh W, Neil M et al. (2004). Making resource decisions for software projects. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/icse.2004.1317462

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE (2003). Improved Programme Selection. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• NEIL M, Fenton NE (2003). Improved programme selection.. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Forey S et al. (2003). Assessing Vehicle Reliability using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Forey S et al. (2003). Assessing vehicle reliability using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Shaw R, Johnson S et al. (2003). Measuring & Managing Culturally Inspired Risk. 11th Safety-Critical Systems Symposium

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4471-0653-1_3

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Malcolm B, Shaw R (2003). Modeling an Air Traffic Control Environment Using Bayesian Belief Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE, Krause P (2003). Software Quality Prediction Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4615-0429-0_6

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Krause P, Neil M (2002). Software measurement: Uncertainty and causal modeling. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/MS.2002.1020298

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Krause P, Neil M (2002). Probabilistic Modelling for Software Quality Control. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.3166/jancl.12.173-188

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Neil M (2001). Making decisions: using Bayesian nets and MCDA. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/S0950-7051(00)00071-X

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Forey S et al. (2001). Using Bayesian belief networks to predict the reliability of military vehicles. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1049/cce:20010103

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton N, Krause P, Neil M (2001). Probabilistic modelling for software quality control. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/3-540-44652-4_39

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, FENTON NE, Krause P (2001). Software Metrics: Uncertainty and causal Modelling. EuroSPI conference, Limerick Institute of Technology

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/ms.2002.1020298

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Nielsen L (2000). Building large-scale Bayesian networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1017/S0269888900003039

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Littlewood B, Strigini L, Wright D et al. (2000). Bayesian Belief Networks for Safety Assessment of Computer-based Systems. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2000). Bayesian belief nets: a causal model for predicting defect rates and resource requirements. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N, Nielsen L (2000). Building large-scale Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1017/S0269888900003039

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2000). Software metrics: roadmap. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1145/336512.336588

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (2000). The Jury Fallacy and the use of Bayesian nets to simplify probabilistic legal arguments. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (1999). A critique of software defect prediction models. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (1999). Software metrics: successes, failures and new directions. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Neil M (1998). A strategy for improving safety related software engineering standards. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Fenton NE, Littlewood B, Neil M et al. (1998). Assessing dependability of safety critical systems using diverse evidence. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1049/ip-sen:19984895

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Courtois PJ, Fenton NE, Littlewood B et al. (1998). Examination of bayesian belief network for safety assessment of nuclear computer-based systems. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Ostralenk G, Tobin M et al. (1998). Lessons from using Z to specify a software tool. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1109/32.663995

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Fenton N (1996). Predicting Software Quality using Bayesian Belief Networks. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Littlewood B, Fenton NE (1996). Applying Bayesian belief networks to systems dependability assessment. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4471-1480-2_5

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Littlewood B, Neil M, Ostrolenk G (1996). The Role of Models in Managing Uncertainty of Software-Intensive Systems. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1016/0951-8320(95)00073-B

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Littlewood B, Neil M, Ostrolenk G (1996). Uncertainty in Software-Intensive Systems. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Bache RM, Neil MD (1995). Introducing Metrics into Industry: A Perspective on GQM. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD (1995). Statistical Control of Software Quality. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Ostrolenk G, Tobin M, Southworth M et al. (1994). Cost Effective Evaluation of a COBOL Parser Using an Operational Profile. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD (1994). Measurement as an alternative to Bureaucracy for the achievement of Software Quality. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1007/BF00213631

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD, Bache RM (1994). Metrics Analysis. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD, Lano K (1993). Approaches to Maintenance Process Improvement via Measurement. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD, Bache RM (1993). Data Linkage Maps. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil M, Bache R (1993). Data linkage maps. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1002/smr.4360050304

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Woherem EE, Neil MD, Estdale JF (1993). Software Process Improvement through the GQM Approach: A Maintenance Case Study, Lake Tahoe, Nevada, USA. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD (1992). Multivariate Assessment of Software Products. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Neil MD, Slater D, Cole RJ (1990). Measures for Maintenance Management: A Case Study. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: 10.1002/smr.4360020404

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref
• Bache RM, Neil M (1990). Validating Technologies for Certifying Software Products. nameOfConference

  
  

  DOI: doi

  
  

  QMRO: qmroHref